← tutti i mercati

Bolsonaro si qualificherà al ballottaggio presidenziale in Brasile?

politicafonte: polymarketchiude il 4 ottobre 2026mercato originale ↗prezzi non aggiornati

Probabilità “Sì” nel tempo

36%27%18%9%0%nov 25gen 26apr 26lug 262%
2%
No
98%

Regole di risoluzione

General elections are scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. If no candidate wins outright in the first round, the top two candidates proceed to a runoff. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to Brazil's presidential runoff election or otherwise wins outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the president is decided in the first round of the election but the listed candidate is not the winner or the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

Registrati per prevedere con 1.000 punti gratis: compri quote alla probabilità corrente e ogni quota vincente paga 1 punto alla risoluzione.