← tutti i mercati

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?

politicafonte: polymarketchiude il 1 gennaio 2027mercato originale ↗

Probabilità “Sì” nel tempo

14%3 punti
20%18%15%13%10%03:3106:3309:3512:3814%

Regole di risoluzione

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Friedrich Merz ceases to be the Chancellor of Germany for any period of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Friedrich Merz's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

Registrati per prevedere con 1.000 punti gratis: compri quote alla probabilità corrente e ogni quota vincente paga 1 punto alla risoluzione.